PURAHU+ · RTU HISTORICAL INTELLIGENCE

Historical Replay Engine

What RTU would have detected before each major crisis. Structural divergence was visible months before market pricing reacted.

SOVEREIGN STRESS TIMELINE — KEY CRISES
2008 GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS
RTU flagged elevated stress months before Lehman
38
US RTU · 2008-Q3
Reserve Adequacy
Deteriorating
Debt Stress
Elevated
Liquidity Stress
Widening
TURKEY FX COLLAPSE · 2018
RTU score 180 before collapse. Currency stress was structural.
180
TUR RTU · 2018-Q3
Reserve deterioration and currency instability were visible in RTU factors 6 months before the lira lost 45% of its value. Market pricing lagged structural reality by an entire cycle.
ARGENTINA DEBT CRISIS · 2018–2020
Persistent sovereign imbalance — RTU signalled throughout
180→317
ARG RTU · 2018→2026
EGYPT RESERVE CRISIS · 2016 & 2022
Reserve adequacy deterioration preceded both FX devaluations
45→95
EGY RTU · 2016→2026
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